Jan 31, 2010 – State of the Union address gives Obama a bounce, but only with Democrats. Per Rasmussen, since the address…
… 33% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -7
The bounce comes almost entirely from those in the president’s party. Sixty-four percent (64%) of Democrats now Strongly Approve, up from 50% before the speech. However, the speech appears to have had the opposite impact on unaffiliated voters. Among those not affiliated with either major party, 50% now Strongly Disapprove. That’s up from 42% before the speech. The next few days should give an indication as to whether these changes will fade or if they signify the beginning of a new phase in the political environment.
Most voters do not believe the President’s assertions about tax cuts, economic growth, or job creation. Additionally, just 19% believe the President accomplished most of his first year objectives.
Previous polling had shown Obama’s Presidential Approval Index was steadily declining in the 15% Disapproval range.
And there is no apparent benefit for Dems in Congress, from the same polling, the Senate majority is not at all out of reach for the GOP:
In Election 2010 Senate races, Democratic incumbents are behind in Nevada, Colorado, Arkansas and Pennsylvania. In California, Indiana, and Wisconsin, Democratic incumbents are in potentially competitive races. A commentary by Rhodes Cook suggests that “For Democrats, It’s Time to Worry.”
Republicans lead open-seat races in Delaware, Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Dakota, and Ohio. Democrats lead in Connecticut, and the race is close in Illinois. Republican incumbents lead in North Carolina and Iowa,
A commentary by political analyst Larry Sabato, suggests that if the election were held today, “the (59-seat) Democratic majority in the Senate would be reduced to just 52 seats.”
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